Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.800293 3.231387 3.707743 4.273348 4.926939 5.658887 6.541400
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.294283 2.875991 3.574121 4.474552 5.606690 6.985136 8.794421
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.882505 2.536065 3.378925 4.547542 6.129627 8.202641 11.134955
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.553460 2.231826 3.164766 4.544907 6.541661 9.336747 13.566786
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.257263 1.913843 2.870599 4.371239 6.676681 10.102906 15.616268
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.026275 1.646341 2.598584 4.173776 6.729834 10.741760 17.570516
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.900153 1.515929 2.508754 4.234352 7.180770 12.046995 20.776183
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.767940 1.352292 2.337547 4.129789 7.337137 12.889344 23.344792
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.715109 1.313723 2.366805 4.367253 8.110980 14.888988 28.259342
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.655873 1.253496 2.347386 4.511373 8.734565 16.709351 33.142535
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.587737 1.165580 2.263264 4.518894 9.097579 18.092384 37.405011
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.503490 1.033432 2.075505 4.294097 8.965997 18.489275 39.738210
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.470671 1.001845 2.085224 4.480026 9.723297 20.838944 46.676805
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.447220 0.986238 2.125473 4.737763 10.679072 23.767329 55.435117
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.412932 0.941898 2.098536 4.845286 11.324073 26.130747 63.361504
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.375703 0.885102 2.035764 4.861600 11.763835 28.104955 70.742879
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.330195 0.802003 1.901032 4.687260 11.721884 28.943773 75.488536
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.289018 0.722743 1.763178 4.482297 11.568610 29.482926 79.561302
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.268715 0.691767 1.736751 4.551934 12.124705 31.893316 89.055559
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.241195 0.638224 1.646510 4.442164 12.191963 33.049266 95.331276
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.234368 0.637728 1.691391 4.699772 13.298765 37.172847 110.844807
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.223176 0.623766 1.698900 4.856273 14.151041 40.741310 125.435577
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.206812 0.592990 1.656558 4.865145 14.580585 43.182247 137.090397